Most Americans think of themselves as “mainstream.” They have jobs and enough education. They have high hopes for their future and for the future of their children. They want a president who shares their dreams.
Many Americans do not feel that way. They feel left behind. They believe gender, race and immigrant issues work against them.
The first group will support Hillary Clinton as the Democratic nominee. But Bernie Sanders remains a contender. The second group will support Donald Trump or Ted Cruz as the Republican nominee.
How big is each group? How many of them will turn out to vote on Election Day, November 8, 2016?
The politics are interesting. Marco Rubio is a Republican senator from Florida. He did not do well in the state primaries held this past Saturday. Candidates Cruz and Trump are calling on him to drop out of the race. Florida is one of three big primaries that will take place on Tuesday, March 15, 2016. If Rubio drops out, Trump thinks he can win the state and all its delegates. Cruz thinks he can compete with Trump in Florida. Both want the Florida race to be between just the two of them.
Candidate John Kasich is the governor of Ohio. He is a moderate. He could win Ohio on March 15, 2016. He would still be a dark horse.
What happens if no one wins a majority of Republican delegates? The delegates will choose the winner at the convention. It will be held in Cleveland, July 18-21, 2016. The convention might turn to Mitt Romney. Romney was the 2012 candidate. It could turn to House Speaker Paul Ryan. He ran with Romney. It will be a contested convention.
The next few weeks will be about counting Republican delegates. For many, the goal is to stop Trump or Cruz from getting a majority of delegates. For many others, the goal will be to get a majority of delegates for Trump or Cruz.
Who would be the candidate in that convention? All bets are off.
Source: The Washington Post March 6, 2016