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What Iowa Tells Us

February 3, 2016
Plain English Version
NORTH CHARLESTON, SC - JANUARY 14: Republican presidential candidates (L-R) Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX). Donald Trump is not smiling today. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

NORTH CHARLESTON, SC – JANUARY 14: Republican presidential candidates (L-R) Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX). Donald Trump is not smiling today. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

The people of Iowa have spoken. Now it is on to New Hampshire.

Senator Ted Cruz of Texas won the Iowa Republican caucus. He courted the vote of the religious right. That is a proven way to win the Iowa caucus. However, recent winners did not go on to become the Republican nominee.

The big loser was Donald Trump. He says only losers lose. He is ahead in New Hampshire. If he does not win in New Hampshire, he will be a two-time loser. It is hard to know what he will do if that happens.

Trump was the big unknown. He has never run for office. His campaign was boastful and shabby. Observers said he took campaigning to a new low. A lot of people just want to see him gone. The biggest winner is Senator Marco Rubio. He finished third. He is from Florida. Rubio seems to be the most moderate of the three. His best feature is that he is not Trump or Cruz.

Republicans have an “establishment.” They are the traditional leaders of the party. They believe that Cruz cannot win the national election. They could not stop Trump. Now they will rally around Rubio.

The other Republican candidates barely mattered. For the moderates, such as John Kasich and Jeb Bush, New Hampshire will be a big test. Kasich is the governor of Ohio. Bush was the governor of Florida.

Bernie Sanders is a senator from Vermont. He is a socialist. The only socialist in the senate. He was not taken seriously when he said he would run for the presidency. He almost tied with Hillary Clinton in the Iowa Democratic caucus.

Experts say Sanders will not beat Clinton in the end. The best prediction at this time: it will be Rubio vs. Clinton in November 2016. But this contest is not over.

Source: The New York Times Republican Race, Democratic Race

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